Security Expert Claudia Mayor from Germany made a rather gloomy forecast for the coming months.
“The war will last a long time- predicted the head of the research department of the Stiftung für Wissenschaft und Politik - Even if President Vladimir Putin suffers a military defeat, lasting peace is still a long way off. But what is fraught with Europe? Various scenarios are possible“.
“In principle, a military victory for Ukraine is certainly possible., she said in an interview with the German publication Redaktionsnetzwerk Deutschland. - But for this, the Ukrainian forces will need much more military assistance from Western politicians.“.
Without additional heavy weapons, such as modern infantry fighting vehicles, drones, artillery and air defense systems, it is impossible to achieve a final turning point in the war, she said.
“I do not expect the war to end next year if our military support remains at the same level as before.“, - said the security expert.
But theoretically, there may be another option for a speedy end to the war in Ukraine: a coup against Putin. Speculation on the subject of a coup appears again and again. But despite numerous failures in the Donbass, expert on Russia Gerhard Mangott from the University of Innsbruck still sees too little movement for a palace riot in the Kremlin.
“For now, however, there are no signs of any major split in the Russian leadership.- he said in an interview with the German media - Especially since Putin’s potential successor probably won’t be in favor of ending the war in Ukraine either.“.
An early end to the war in Ukraine is still hard to imagine. Even if the warring parties agree on a cessation of hostilities, the political conflict over state borders and compensation payments will continue to unrest. In this case, Russia will also negotiate from a position of weakness. And it also continued to have devastating consequences for Europe and Germany. The security expert Major is convinced of this.
Recall that the journalist, publicist, TV presenter Pavel Kazarin, who defends Ukraine in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, believes that we must honestly say that we do not know when this war will end.
Source: Fakty
