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When did coronavirus appear in Europe? Polish researchers came to unexpected conclusions

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The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus may have appeared in Europe earlier than expected, that is, before the first cases of infection were discovered on the “old continent”. So when did the pandemic actually start? Check.

According to official statistics, coronavirus appeared in Europe on January 24, 2024. However, research conducted by Polish experts sheds new light on the start date of the pandemic. According to scientists, the pathogen could have posed a serious threat even earlier.

The coronavirus could have appeared in Europe as early as October 2019.

Professor Przemyslaw Sleszynski from the Institute of Geography and Spatial Development of the Polish Academy of Sciences (PAN) in Warsaw and his colleagues – Dr. lived Slawomir Kurek from the University of the National Education Commission in Krakow, Ph.D. lived Robert Krzysztofik from the University of Silesia and Dr. engineer Jan Owsinski from the Institute of Systems Research of the Polish Academy of Sciences – analyzed mortality data for the period from October 7, 2019 to March 22, 2020. They examined 918 regions of the “old continent” and compared the results with the corresponding data for a three-year reference period (2016–2018). 44 regions recorded a noticeable increase in the number of deaths during this time.

A higher number of deaths was observed, in particular, in the French department of the Territory of Belfort. The death rate there remained very high long before the coronavirus was officially discovered, reaching a record high of 204 percent between November 28 and December 4, 2019. “This may provide indirect evidence that the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus was present in Europe on a much larger scale earlier than generally believed,” the study authors note. It is worth emphasizing that the Belfort Territory department was one of the regions of France most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. In the summer of 2020, the daily number of deaths in this region was 13 per 10 thousand inhabitants. For comparison, in Paris there were 8 deaths for the same number of people.

Coronavirus is still a threat

It should be emphasized that, despite the official end of the pandemic, coronavirus continues to remain dangerous. The number of infections reaches approximately 50,000 per day (worldwide). Today in Poland (February 8, 2024) 327 cases of infection were recorded. However, it should be emphasized that these statistics, as experts note, are significantly underestimated. They do not reflect the actual number of cases. They only apply to reported infections that have occurred in the system. Therefore, they are not very reliable, given the fact that many infections are asymptomatic. It is also common for infections to go unreported. Dr. Pawel Grzesiewski, a pediatrician and NRL expert on epidemic threats, recalled this in a recent interview with WPROST. “We can’t talk about the number of cases based on any reliable studies because we don’t have information, for example, about tests done by patients,” he explained.

Designed by: Polina Tsivka
Source: onlinelibrary.wiley.com, Health, TVN, PAP, leparisien.fr
  • Corona virus
  • Scientific reports
  • Coronavirus in the world

Source: Wprost

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